Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 2.928429e-05 0.000035 0.000041 0.000048 0.000056 0.000064 0.000074
2025-03-23 2.180836e-05 0.000029 0.000037 0.000047 0.000059 0.000073 0.000090
2025-03-30 1.661290e-05 0.000024 0.000034 0.000046 0.000062 0.000080 0.000103
2025-04-06 1.254857e-05 0.000020 0.000030 0.000044 0.000062 0.000084 0.000113
2025-04-13 9.101359e-06 0.000016 0.000027 0.000041 0.000061 0.000086 0.000119
2025-04-20 6.973146e-06 0.000014 0.000024 0.000040 0.000061 0.000089 0.000127
2025-04-27 5.651064e-06 0.000012 0.000023 0.000039 0.000063 0.000095 0.000138
2025-05-04 4.723646e-06 0.000011 0.000022 0.000040 0.000066 0.000101 0.000151
2025-05-11 4.371154e-06 0.000011 0.000023 0.000042 0.000071 0.000112 0.000169
2025-05-18 3.735299e-06 0.000010 0.000022 0.000043 0.000074 0.000119 0.000182
2025-05-25 2.726675e-06 0.000009 0.000020 0.000040 0.000072 0.000118 0.000186
2025-06-01 2.057897e-06 0.000007 0.000018 0.000039 0.000072 0.000120 0.000192
2025-06-08 1.455386e-06 0.000006 0.000017 0.000038 0.000073 0.000125 0.000203
2025-06-15 1.037063e-06 0.000005 0.000016 0.000037 0.000074 0.000130 0.000217
2025-06-22 7.000381e-07 0.000004 0.000015 0.000036 0.000075 0.000135 0.000229
2025-06-29 4.273417e-07 0.000004 0.000013 0.000034 0.000074 0.000137 0.000237
2025-07-06 2.152520e-07 0.000003 0.000011 0.000032 0.000072 0.000137 0.000241
2025-07-13 1.144732e-07 0.000002 0.000010 0.000031 0.000071 0.000139 0.000250
2025-07-20 6.644047e-08 0.000002 0.000010 0.000030 0.000073 0.000145 0.000264
2025-07-27 3.973762e-08 0.000002 0.000009 0.000031 0.000075 0.000152 0.000280
2025-08-03 3.296749e-08 0.000002 0.000010 0.000033 0.000081 0.000165 0.000306
2025-08-10 1.912017e-08 0.000001 0.000010 0.000033 0.000084 0.000174 0.000324
2025-08-17 4.370283e-09 0.000001 0.000008 0.000031 0.000082 0.000173 0.000328